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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather- |
Scientists have recorded a rapid increase in solar flare activity |
2025-07-13 |
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. [Regnum] Scientists have been observing a rapid increase in the number and area of active centers on the Sun since July 11. This was reported on the website of the Solar Astronomy Laboratory of the Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences. ![]() Experts noted that the Solar Orbiter spacecraft is currently monitoring solar phenomena. According to scientists, activity has also been recorded on the far side, not visible from Earth. “From July 11 to 12, 17 flares occurred on the Sun, which corresponds to an increase in flare activity of approximately three times compared to the average values for July,” the report said. Scientists noted that the number of M-level flares will increase in the next couple of days. However, the increase in activity has not yet created any direct threats to Earth. The laboratory believes that the change in solar activity is global in nature. On June 18, during the monitoring of solar activity, a powerful X-class flare was registered. According to the Institute of Applied Geophysics, its strength was X1.2, and its duration reached 16 minutes. |
Posted by:badanov |
#3 Excess magnitude/volcanic watch is in play now. Solar wind enhancement expected Saturday/Sunday/Monday. NOT a 'happy face' ![]() |
Posted by: Skidmark 2025-07-13 09:40 |
#2 From Wiki -"Solar cycle 25 began in December 2019. Several predictions have been made for solar cycle 25 based on different methods, ranging from very weak to strong magnitude. A physics-based prediction relying on the data-driven solar dynamo and solar surface flux transport models seems to have predicted the strength of the solar polar field at the current minima correctly and forecasts a weak but not insignificant solar cycle 25 similar to or slightly stronger than cycle 24. Notably, they rule out the possibility of the Sun falling into a Maunder-minimum-like (inactive) state over the next decade. A preliminary consensus by a solar cycle 25 Prediction Panel was made in early 2019.[24] The Panel, which was organized by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and NASA, based on the published solar cycle 25 predictions, concluded that solar cycle 25 will be very similar to solar cycle 24. They anticipate that the solar cycle minimum before cycle 25 will be long and deep, just as the minimum that preceded cycle 24. They expect solar maximum to occur between 2023 and 2026 with a sunspot range of 95 to 130, given in terms of the revised sunspot number." |
Posted by: Mullah Richard 2025-07-13 07:12 |
#1 Scientists on red alert as 'sleeping giant' fault threatens to snap without warning beneath 300,000 Americans |
Posted by: Skidmark 2025-07-13 01:39 |